Current Economic Statistics and Review For the
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Theme
of the week: Corporate Sector Performance During 2005-06: A Summary Display of Overall Buoyancy Despite Impediments **
1. IntroductionThe
corporate sector has maintained its growth momentum in 2005-06 despite
facing several problems such as ONGC witnessing a major fire break out in
July 2005 which destroyed its offshore platform at Bombay High and which
was one of the reasons for a slowdown in the mining sector. Heavy rains
witnessed in Mumbai and There is also reason to believe that the improved corporate performance during 2004-05 and 2005-06 appears to initiate a trend arising from the dynamism that the entrepreneurs have begun to exhibit as a result of accepting the challenges of competition in a liberalised and open economy. Simultaneously the corporate sector has also benefited from a conducive policy environment; reduction in tax rates and interest rates are the set of other such policies. 2. Indicators of Growth
The Indian economy seems to have entered a new phase of cyclical
upswing with robust performances by the manufacturing and services sectors
boosting the overall GDP growth. Some of the major indicators of growth
are discussed below. Overall The
Central Statistical Organisation’s advance estimates peg GDP growth for
the Indian economy at 8.1 per cent (at 1999-2000 prices) for 2005-06 as
compared to 7.5 per cent in 2004-05 and 8.5 per cent in 2003-04.
The growth rate of manufacturing is expected to be around 9.4 per
cent in 2005-06 as per the above estimates as against 8.1 per cent in
2004-05 and 7.1 in 2003-04. The rate of growth of industrial sector as
measured in terms of IIP (Index of industrial production) has stood at 8
per cent during April-January 2005-06 with manufacturing growing by 9 per
cent, which is marginally lower than 9.1 per cent attained a year ago.
This growth trend has been reflected in manufacturing companies who have
reported substantial growth in sales, profitability and other financial
indicators. However, within manufacturing, performance varied across the
various sectors. Investment According to CMIE’s 44th survey of investments, during the quarter ended January 2006, 10,177 projects involving an investment of Rs 27.61 lakh crore have been captured. Keeping with the trend of increasing new investments 2,087 projects envisaging an investment of Rs 8.37 lakh crore have announced during April 2005-January 2006. During the January 2006 quarter alone, 557 projects envisaging Rs 3.05 lakh crore have been announced, this has been higher than the Rs 2.10 lakh crore new investments announced during the previous quarter and by-far the highest new investments since CMIE started undertaking such surveys in 1996. As per the survey carried out by CMIE, total investments comprising of announcement, proposed and under implementation together has shown a remarkable growth of 30.8 per cent year-on-year in January 2006. The total number of deleted projects has gone down to 168 in January 2006 from 238 in January 2005. The projects under implementation have increased by 10 per cent to Rs 8,74,933 crore in January 2006.
The
highest investments have been made by Mukesh Ambani controlled Reliance
Industries. Two mega SEZ (special economic zones) projects have been
announced at
Manufacturing sector has witnessed a whooping 87 per cent increase in investment in January 2006 over the same period a year ago. The share of manufacturing in the total industry has been the highest at 30.11 per cent in January 2006 as against 23.29 per cent in January 2005. Under manufacturing, metal and metal products have secured a substantial amount of investment. If we take a closer look at Table 2 we find that the spread of investment has been selective. Other than in manufacturing, the sectoral shares have gone down: services to 27.31 per cent in January 2006 as against 31.17 per cent over the same period previous year, electricity to 28.68 per cent from 30.02 per cent and irrigation to 4.96 per cent from 6.80 per cent. However, the share of construction industry and mining has marginally risen to 4.97 per cent and 3.97 from 4.77 per cent and 3.96 per cent, respectively.
However,
the picture of actual investments has not been as rosy as that of the
proposals made (Table 3). Credit offtake
Bank credit disbursal during 2004-05 has been well diversified
across different sectors of the economy, with flows to housing and retail
sector particularly strong and a substantial pick up in flows to
agriculture. Strong industrial recovery has been accompanied by much
higher credit growth of 17.4 per cent to industry (medium and large) in
2004-05 compared to only 5.1 per cent in the previous year. During
2005-06, up to end of October 2005, the year-on-year growth of credit to
industry accelerated further to 45.7 per cent. The share of industry in
gross bank credit saw a decline from 32.3 per cent during 2003-04 to 29.8
per cent during 2004-05. However, this declining trend has been reversed
during the current year up to October 2005, with the share increasing to
33.2 per cent from 31.7 per cent during the corresponding period of the
previous year. Sources
of Finance In addition to bank credit mentioned above and substantial increases in cash flows of corporate, on their own, the reliance of corporate sectors on overseas borrowings has increased sharply during 2005-06. The corporate sector has borrowed $ 13.7 billion during April-February 2005-06 as against $ 11.5 billion over the same period previous year. Initially banks, financial institutions have been the major sources for funding of domestic companies. But, now a days, the corporate are raising money largely from overseas market through ECB’s and FCCB’s. 3.
Quarterly Performance: A Disaggregated Picture
Insofar as corporate balance sheets are concerned, quarterly data
are available up to the third quarter of 2005-06. Earlier, during 2004-05,
the performance of corporate sector has been impressive. In each quarter,
sales and profits had seen healthy year-on-year (y-o-y) growth. The
performance of non-financial companies had outpaced financial companies by
a wide margin both in income and profits. Surging exports and good
domestic demand in 2004-05 had been among the major growth drivers of this
performance. Manufacturing segment had maintained above 20 per cent sales
growth throughout 2004-05. The growth of manufacturing sector companies
was largely driven by metal companies, automobile, information technology
and food beverages. According to RBI study, in 2004-05 the profit after
tax grew by 53.8 per cent over 2003-04 and 59.5 per cent in 2003-04 over
2002-03. During
2005-06, the overall picture of the corporate sector shows that the tempo
of Indian economy integrating into the global economy is gathering
momentum at a rapid pace manifested from the rise in outsourcing in the
Information Technology (IT) and IT-based service sectors, growth in
export-import trade and in global acquisitions, in addition, consumption
demand for consumer is increasing which can be seen from the improvement
in the performance of the fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) companies.
Here in this section we have taken a quick review of the performance of
the first three quarters of 2005-06. During the first quarter of 2005-06 corporates have continued with a sustained growth over the same period in 2004-05. In terms of profitability, the net profits have risen over 100 per cent in industries such as hotels, tractors, trading, chemicals, textile machinery, construction, electrical equipment, shipping, machine tools, packaging, petrochemicals, paper, diamond, mining, food products and sugar. The industries that did not do well in terms of profits are packaging, granites, engines, tyres, glass and lubricant. Small and medium companies like Indorama, Bajaj Hindustan, Varun Shipping, etc have scaled up their performance substantially. The growth in sales of the manufacturing sector
have been dominated by metal products, non-electrical machinery and
electrical machinery. There has been very few manufacturing industries
whose performance were down during April-June 2005, these include
vanaspati, food processing fertilisers, castings, electronic equipment
electronic tubes and print media. The
second quarter of 2005-06 received a setback due to heavy rainfall in
almost all parts of the country thus affecting production. In addition,
firming of interest rates and rising crude oil prices internationally has
affected the performance of the corporate sector by rising their cost of
production. In the month of July and September 2005 floods in Maharashtra
and After
receiving a setback in the second quarter, corporate sector performance
bounced back in the third quarter. FMCG, auto, cement, capital goods and
IT companies have continued with their growth momentum. Rising investments
and higher demand from the housing sector ensured that the construction
industry continued on its growth track. Under manufacturing, sector such
as ferrous metals, chemicals cotton textiles have registered a subdued
performance by reporting declining in profitability both at operating
profits and net profit. Increasing subsidy burden and higher raw material
expenses has led oil marketing and refining companies and steel companies
to post miserable performance. According to RBI (Reserve Bank of India) study as
published in January 2006 Bulletin, non-government non-financial public
limited companies (2,128 companies) have exhibited continued good
performance in terms of high growth in sales and profits, along with sharp
delaine in interest payments during the first half of 2005-06. The sales
of selected companies have grown by 17.2 per cent (25.1 per cent in H1:
2004-05) and their profits after tax growth has stood at 41.3 per cent in
H1: 2005-06 (50.1 per cent in H1 2004-05). The gross profit margin at 13.3
per cent and net profit margin at 8.7 per cent have been at a higher level
than 12.3 per cent and 7.2 per cent, respectively in the corresponding
period of the previous year.
Of
the 2,128 companies covered in the study, 525 companies each with sales of
Rs 100 crore or more have contributed 89.6 per cent to total sales. The
number of companies reporting profits after tax in the first half of
2005-06 has been higher at 1,665 as compared with 1,581 such companies in
the corresponding period of the previous year. The
key indicators of performance across the industries have shown
considerable variations in their growth during the first half of 2005-06.
The profits after tax of food products and beverages, textiles, electrical
machinery and apparatus and hotel and restaurants have been more than
doubled in the first half of 2005-06. More than 50 per cent increase in
net profits has reported by mining and quarrying, paper and paper products
except machinery and equipment, machinery and machine tools, medical
precision, construction, wholesale and retail trade and transport. On the
other hand, rubber and plastic products, electricity generation and supply
have recorded decline in their gross and net profit margins Sector-wise
performance
The overall sector-wise performance reveals that sectors like FMCG, automobile, capital goods, IT, cement and engineering have continued sustained growth whereas oil and gas, metal and metal products have reported subdued performance.
Among the good performers, the FMCG sector has posted good results
– a key beneficiary of satisfactory monsoon, as it fuels rural demand.
The growth of HLL, GCPL, Marico has been mainly driven by their home and
personal care products and food business. HLL after a gap of 6 years has
been able to post double-digit growth in its sales revenue. FMCG growth
(in value terms) in rural markets has far outpaced the sector’s growth
in urban markets during the first nine months of the current financial
year. Products that have seen significant growth in rural markets include
toothpaste, hair oils and shampoos. The growth curve of With the easy availability of consumer finance, rising disposable income levels and changing family patterns the demand for consumer durables like air conditioners (AC), coolers, washing machines and refrigerators has been scaling up ultimately resulted in the strong financial performance by consumer durable companies.
In the
infrastructure segment, the cement industry is on a roll; riding on
increased activity in real estate the consumption demand for cement has
reported a substantial rise during 2005-06. Cement industry is mainly
dominated by four giants namely, ACC, Ultra Tech, Gujarat Ambuja and
Grasim, together they have produced 55.26 million tonne of cement during
April-February 2005-06. Also, the engineering sector is the largest
segment of the overall Indian industrial sector. Not
withstanding with the above growth, oil and gas and metals and metal
products have registered depressing performance. The financial performance
of oil marketing and refining companies has decelerated in 2005-06. This
reflects the adverse impact of higher crude oil prices in the
international markets with no corresponding hike in prices of petroleum
products in the domestic market. The prices of petrol and diesel have been
revised in September 2005, but have not been sufficient to match the sharp
increase in import prices. Also, LPG and SKO (superior kerosene oil)
prices have not been revised which has resulted in increased subsidy, thus
resulting in enhanced losses for integrated oil companies. The upward
spiraling of prices of metal at the London Metal Exchange (LME) has
continued, which has been reflected in the domestic market. As a result,
the prices of alumina, zinc and copper have been raised by National
Aluminium Company of India Limited, Hindalco and Hindustan Zinc. Steel
sector, which has experienced high growth over the last two years, has
witnessed a drastic fall in its profitability this year. The big steel
companies like SAIL, Jindal Stainless, Essar Steel, Uttam Galva have
suffered in profitability.
4.
Newer
Areas of Dynamism There has been a sharp rise in employment opportunities especially in the software companies. This is reflected in the rise in the labour productivity, efficiency of labour also. The rise in wage bill has not only been visible in software industry alone but also in automobile companies, pharmaceutical companies though automobile and pharma companies have not seen drastic rise in their workforce in the current year still they have witnessed a substantial rise in wage bill. Indian
companies are acquiring on a large scale lands to set up special economic
zones (SEZ) or for building hospitals hotels, petrol pumps technology
campus, etc. RIL has acquired land to set up two SEZ’s in Navi Munbai
and Haryana. The Mahindra Group has signed an agreement with the Corporate
Restructuring
Of late, Corporate restructuring is one strategy, which is being
increasingly getting adopted by the corporates, especially in the old
family owned firms. With the new divide and rule strategy it becomes easy
for the corporates to expand and focus solely on their businesses. Recent
demergers show that the corporates have adopted a strategy where separate
listed companies have been created from one diversified company. The best
example of this is the division of Dhirubhai Ambani’s Reliance Empire. The
feud between the Ambani brothers and the de-merger announcement that
followed had been the most significant corporate development the country
has seen in many years. Mukesh Ambani continues to control the core
petrochemical, refining and exploration business, which remain under the
post-demerger with Reliance Industries, while Anil Ambani took over the
control of telecom, financial services and the power utility business.
Another landmark in corporate history is the merger of Indo Gulf Fertilisers Limited and Birla Global Finance
Limited with Indian Rayon. The motive was to create a much larger,
stronger entity in Indian Rayon. The
name of Indian Rayon has changed to ‘Aditya Birla Nuvo’ after the
merger. At
a smaller level, some companies have tried to simply carve out their
investment portfolios into separate companies. RPG group’s KEC
International took out its investment portfolio into a new company.
Post merger, there will be two sets of businesses - the brick and mortar
businesses of fertilisers, carbon black, viscose filament yarn and
textiles that will be the focused value segment and the high growth
segment comprising garments, financial services, IT and IT-enabled
services and telecom. Mergers
& Acquisition
Mergers
and acquisitions have gained importance in recent times. Business
consolidation by large business houses and by multinationals operating in 5.
Prospects For 2006-07 The
growth momentum in auto industry is expected to continue for the fourth
quarter. The latest announcement by the Government to cut excise duty on
small cars will soon see ReferencesEconomic
Survey (2005-06), Government of CMIE,
(2006), Monthly Review of Indian Economy, March CMIE, (2006), Captex, March CMIE, (2006), Captex February Reserve
Bank of *
This note is prepared by Vidya Kanitkar with inputs by Abhilasha Maheswari
and Piyusha Hukeri Highlights of Current Economic Scene AGRICULTURE The central government has approved a proposal for the release of Rs 1,70 crore to provide interest relief on the crop loans to the farmers. The borrowers who had availed crop loans up to Rs 1 lakh each for kharif and rabi seasons during 2005-06 would be instantly benefited. However, where the crop loan amount exceeds Rs 1 lakh, the interest relief would be applicable on the principal amount up to Rs 1 lakh only. A Group of Ministers (GoM) has been set up to completely overhaul the Price Stabilisaion Fund (PSF) for the plantation crops, while a committee has been set up to formulate an insurance package for the plantation farmers. The GoM would finalise the plan to revamp the PSF. In
the wake of natural disasters witnessed by Onion
growers in To aid the poultry industry affected by the bird flu, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has asked banks to convert principal and interest due on working capital loans to term loans, which would be applicable to installments and interest due for payment on or after February 01, 2006. The mango processing units in Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh, which produce most of the mango pulp for the international markets, are expected to suffer loss during 2006-07. The unfavourable weather conditions during the flowering season in December have delayed flowering, resulting in lower yield of fruits ultimately adversely affecting the production of mango pulp during this season. The Andhra Pradesh Export Development Authority (APEDA) has planned to launch an Integrated Infrastructure Development Project (IIDP) to boost mango exports. The project would commence in three months and APEDA would work in co-ordination with the state government on the issue. According to data compiled by the Solvent Extractors' Association of India total oilmeal exports have surged by a robust 64 per cent to 44.2 lakh tonnes in 2005-06, as against 26.9 lakh tonnes in 2004-05. However, rapeseedmeal export has slid due to non-availability of rapeseed for crushing in the last few months.
Foreign Trade Policy 2006 has taken various initiatives vis-à-vis farm sector and allied activities. Major among them includes - a new scheme called the Vishesh Krishi and Gram Udyog Yojana (Special Agricultural and Village Industry Scheme) for promoting export of fruits, vegetables, flowers, minor forest produce, dairy, poultry and their value added products and Gram Udyog products, has been introduced. Funds shall be earmarked under ASIDE (Assistance to States for Infrastructure Development of Exports) for development of Agri Export Zones (AEZ). Focusing on value-added items, the new Foreign Trade Policy (FTP) has announced an additional duty entitlement pass-book (DEPB) facility to the tune of 1.25 per cent for identified value added products like specified specialised inputs / chemicals and flavouring oils etc. Besides this the policy has also announced a concessional rate for import of monofilament long-line tuna fishing system and a self-removal procedure for clearance of seafood waste, to be applicable subject to prescribed wastage norms. According to Tea Board of India, tea production, in the first two months of the calendar year 2006, has registered a growth of 3.7 per cent to touch 39.8 million kgs over a year ago. However, exports have suffered drastically during this period recording a decline of 38.2 per cent to stand at 21.9 million kgs. For the April-February 2005-06 period, as well tea exports have declined to 162.1 million kgs compared with 193.73 million kgs a year ago. The central government is likely to reduce its wheat procurement target of 162 lakh tonnes in the rabi marketing season 2006-07due to unfavourable weather conditions. INDUSTRY Mining For the Financial year 2005-06, the country’s mineral production (excluding atomic minerals) has been estimated to increase by 8.33 per cent in value terms at Rs 75,121.61 crore. The rise has been attributed to higher prices of minerals during the year. Of this, fuel minerals have accounted for Rs 56,412 crore (75 per cent), metallic minerals Rs 8,973 crore (12 per cent) and non-metallic minerals, including minor minerals, have been valued at Rs 9,736 crore (13 per cent). According to the 2005-06 annual report of the ministry of mines, based on the overall trend so far, the index of mineral production (base 1993-94 = 100) for the financial year 2005-06 is expected to be 154.23 as compared to 153.48 for 2004-05, showing marginal growth. Automobiles At present, 70,000 bikes are being sold in 125 cc segment as compared with 2.4 lakh bikes in the 100/110 cc in a month, translating to a market share of 18 per cent for 125 cc bikes of total motor cycle market. However, the trend is likely to reverse in the near future with the 125 cc variants of the executive segment (middle segment) bikes expected to outnumber their 100/110 cc counterparts in over one-and-a-half years. The key factors for this would be improved fuel economy from 125 cc bikes compared with their 100 cc counterparts, diminishing price differential between the two segments and more variety as a result of entry of new players. The 125 cc executive segment bikes are priced at Rs 44-49,000 compared with their 100 cc counterparts at Rs 41-43,000. INFRASTRUCTURE Power The
US Agency for International Development (USAID), in alliance with General
Electricals (GE), has identified several villages in Coal The
government has planned to delay the introduction of amendment Bill to
allow private players in coal mining in the face of stiff opposition from
trade unions and left parties. Instead, it has plans to introduce another
Bill in parliament permitting competitive bidding for captive coal mines
and sale of surplus coal from such blocks as part of its efforts to reform
the sector. Aviation The
government has plans to introduce user charges at airports to raise funds
to help finance its ambitious Rs 40,000-crore modernisation plan for
airports across the country. As per the proposal, every international
passenger will be taxed Rs 500 for every trip and domestic passengers Rs
250 per trip. The government has estimated that the passenger cess will
raise over Rs 1,000 crore next year. INFLATION The annual point-to-point inflation rate based on wholesale price index (WPI) has gone down to 3.96 per cent for the week ended March 25, 2006 from 4.06 per cent during the previous week. The inflation rate was at 5.10 per cent in the corresponding week last year. The WPI in the week under review has declined by 0.2 per cent to 197 from 197.4 in the previous week (Base: 1993-94=100). The index of primary articles’ group (weight 22.02 per cent) has risen considerably by 0.6 per cent to 193.1 from the previous week’s level of 192, due to an increase of 0.8 per cent and 0.1 per cent in the price index of food articles and non-food articles, respectively. The index of ‘food articles’ has increased to 195.3 from 193.8 in the previous week, mainly due to an increase in the prices of condiments and spices, moong, fish-inland, fruits and vegetables, urad, mutton and wheat. Similarly, the index of non-food articles has risen marginally to 174.7 from 174.6 in the earlier week, due to an increase in the prices of mesta, rape and mustard seed and safflower. The index of ‘fuel, power, light and lubricants’ group (weight 14.23 per cent) has remained unchanged at the previous weeks’ index at 316.3. The index of ‘manufactured products’ group constituting the maximum of 63.7 per cent of total weight, has declined considerably by 0.6 per cent to 171.7 from the previous week’s level of 172.8. The major groups, which contributed to this decline, were the food products, ‘leather and leather products’ and base metals. The latest final index of WPI for the week ended January 28, 2006 has been revised downwards; as a result both, the absolute index and the implied inflation rate stood at 195.9 and 4.04 per cent as against their provisional levels of 196.4 and 4.30 per cent, respectively. The average rate of inflation in the year 2005-06 has stood at 4.5 per cent. Similarly, the point-to-point rate of inflation has stood at 4 per cent, a percentage point lower than the estimated rate of 5 per cent in the Economic Survey 2005-06. BANKING Banks
have started levying annual charges on automated teller machines (ATM) cum
debit
cards ranging from Rs 50 to Rs 500. Bankers are saying this is a small
price customers have to pay for all the convenience they enjoy. The
banking sector will generate revenue of over Rs 400 crore from this charge
annually. State Bank of India (SBI) the country’s largest bank and the
largest issuer of debit cards with a card base of 20 million is the latest
to join the list levying this charge. SBI is charging Rs 50 per card per
annum. This means, SBI will earn Rs 100 crore under this head. While
private sector banks such as ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank charge debit
cardholders an annual fee of Rs 100, customers of multinational banks such
as Standard Chartered and HSBC will be shelling out nearly Rs 150-200
annually. ICICI Bank links the annual fee on its debit card to the average
balance maintained by its account holders. For instance, the bank does not
charge its corporate salary customers or high-networth individuals for
debit cards. Saraswat
Co-operative Bank has completed the merger of Maratha Mandir Co-operative
Bank (MMCB) with itself. This is a major merger in the co-operative
banking sector in the recent past. MMCB has deposits worth Rs 180 crore
and loan assets worth Rs 110 crore, with a branch network of 11 branches
and one extension counter. Saraswat Bank has absorbed MMCB’s 242
employees. Over
200,000 employees of the country’s largest bank State Bank of India (SBI)
has began an indefinite strike, demanding revision in their pension
package. The strike has affected PUBLIC
FINANCE The
ASSOCHAM has urged state governments of Tamil Nadu and Uttar Pradesh to join the value added tax (VAT) regime in the current fiscal year and thus enhance the revenues. The union government is firming up tax defaulters’ list on the basis of annual information returns (AIR) data on high spenders. The income tax (I-T) department is engaged in scanning the database. It is said to have identified non-filers of tax returns. Initially, the I-T authorities had asked the individuals to reveal their sources of income, produce their tax returns and quote the PAN. The Municipal budget 2006-07 put forth by municipal corporation of greater Mumbai expects revenue income of Rs 6,822 crore, capital income of Rs 3,432 crore whereas revenue expenditure of Rs 6,296 crore and capital expenditure of Rs 3,929 crore. FINANCIAL
MARKET Capital
Markets Primary
Market JRG
Securities Limited will be tapping the market with its public issue of 36
lakh equity shares at a price of Rs 40 per share for an amount aggregating
Rs 1450 lakh. The issue opens on April 17 and closes on April 21. Secondary
Market During
the week under review, the market sentiments were firm except for the
profit booking on April 7, which pulled the sensex off its high levels.
The BSE sensex surged by 309.48 points or 2.74 per cent over its previous
week’s close, at 11589.44 points and the broader S&P CNX Nifty index
also gained 52.25 points or 1.54 per cent to close at 3454.8 points. The
BSE Mid-Cap and Small-Cap index registered a weekly gain of 3.48 per cent
and 4.28 per cent, respectively which is above that registered by sensex.
Meanwhile, all the sectoral indices closed the week in positive territory;
the highest gainer was BSE CG index up by 6.27 per cent at 8683.13 points,
followed by BSE METAL and BSE CD at 3.46 per cent and 3.19 per cent,
respectively. The
FIIs were net buyers in the equity market during the week (April 3-7),
their net investment for the week ending April 7 stood at Rs 969.60 crore
with purchases worth Rs 8779.90 crore and sales of Rs 7810.30 crore.
While, in the derivatives market for the futures segment they were net
seller to the extent of Rs 370.79 crore with purchases worth Rs 1306.66
crore and sales of Rs 1685.45 crore. In the options segment they were net
buyers to the tune of Rs 21.05 crore with purchases worth Rs 109.46 crore
and sales of Rs 88.41 crore. Meanwhile,
the mutual funds were also net buyers for the week ending April 7 to the
extent of Rs 333.09 crore with purchases worth Rs 1890.84 crore and sales
of Rs 1557.75 crore. Derivatives For
the week ending April 7, the total turnover of the NSE’s F&O segment
stood at around Rs 148850 crore with daily average turnover of Rs 37213
crore. As usual the stock futures continued to contribute the bulk of the
trading at Rs 103349 crore and the index options turnover stood at Rs
32910 crore. Government
Securities Market Primary
Market The
RBI has announced the sale of a new 10-year government paper and sell
(re-issue) the 7.50 per cent 2034 for a notified amount of Rs 5,000 crore
and Rs 3,000 crore, respectively. Meanwhile, during the week, under the regular auction, the RBI has mobilised Rs 500 crore through 91-day and 182-day treasury bills each and the cut-off yields for the 91-day and 182-day treasury bills were 5.7776 per cent and 6.1386 per cent, respectively. The
RBI has notified the revised scheme of underwriting commitment and
liquidity support for primary dealers (PD); under the revised scheme, PDs
will be required to meet underwriting commitment instead of the earlier
requirements of bidding commitment and voluntary underwriting. This
underwriting commitment will be divided into minimum underwriting
commitment (MUC) and additional competitive underwriting (ACU). MUC of
each PDs will be computed to ensure that at least 50 per cent of each
issue is mandatorily covered by the aggregate of all MUCs, his in turn
would result into each PD underwriting about 3 per cent of the notified
amount of each auction as MUC and the remaining portion of the notified
amount will be open to ACU. Meanwhile,
in the revised scheme of ways and means advance (WMA) to state governments
for 2006-07, the RBI has raised the total normal WMA limit to Rs 9875
crore, against the present limit of Rs 8935 crore. The rate of interest
charged on the normal WMA will be repo rate for the period of 1 to 90 days
and one per cent above repo rate for the period beyond 90 days. Secondary
Market During
the week, increased government spending towards salary payments amidst
lower fund requirements resulted into cash surplus in the market; as a
consequence, the call rates eased by around 125 basis points to close the
week at 5.55-5.65 per cent as compared to 6.7-6.9 per cent in the previous
week. Also, the average daily subscriptions at the reverse repo auction
rose to Rs 25,474 crore from Rs 7,084 crore in the previous week, while
the amount placed under the repo auctions averaged to Rs 595 crore from Rs
6,338 crore in the previous week. Bond
Market On
April 5, Sebi has notified the revised investment guidelines for FIIs for
investing in debt papers including the corporate debt. In the circular,
the regulator has said that the Centre has raised the cumulative debt
investment limits from $1.75 billion to $2 billion and $0.5 billion to
$1.5 billion for FIIs /sub-accounts investment in government securities
and corporate debt, respectively and this revision will be applicable with
immediate effect. The limits of $2 billion and $1.5 billion will be
allocated between two different sets of FIIs registered as 100 per cent
debt and the general 70:30. With this, FII’s total investment in debt,
including corporate bonds, will raise to $3.50 billion. Foreign
Exchange Market In
the forex market, irrespective of the dollar’s weakness in the overseas
market and the strong FII inflows in the domestic market, the sustained
RBI intervention through public sector banks pressurized the rupee
movement and it depreciated by around 0.16 per cent against dollar to
touch Rs 44.69 per dollar from Rs 44.62 in the previous week.
Meanwhile, in the forward premia segment the improved liquidity
condition in the market saw the premia rates moving sharply downwards as
compared to the previous week. Commodities
Futures Derivatives During
the week, the commodity futures market witnessed a mixed trends in the
pulses futures as in the initial part of the week the urad and chana
registered impressive gains on account of speculations of chana crop
damage in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra that was aroused due
to late arrivals, but as the week progressed bearish trends set in with
urad and lemon tur registering losses. On
April 3, the Ministry of agriculture has released the second advance
estimates of crop production, wherein it has estimated the total foodgrain
production at 209.32 million tonne, up 4.71 million tonne from the
previous year. In 2004-05, the total foodgrain production stood at 204.62
million tonne. While the production of Kharif foodgrain is estimated at
108.15 million tonne, the production of Rabi foodgrain is estimated at
101.17 million tonne. Wheat production is estimated at 73.06 million tonne
and production of maize is estimated at 14.99 million tonne, which is an
all time record. Meanwhile, the production of pulses during 2005-06 is
estimated at 14.40 million tonne, up by 7.6 per cent as compared to the
total production level of 2004-05. INSURANCE The
Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (Irda) has asked all
insurance companies to put in place by July a proper framework to comply
with the Prevention of Money Laundering Act, 2002 (PMLA) which came into
force in July last year. As per the PLMA guidelines, insurers are required
to submit suspicious transactions immediately to the financial
intelligence unit. CREDIT
RATING Crisil
has reaffirmed the ‘AA (SO)’ ratings assigned to the Ahemdabad
Municipal Corporation’s Rs 1000 million tax-free bonds (Property
Tax)-2002.and its Rs 580 million tax-free bonds (Property and Octroi)-20004.
The assigned ratings are based on the corporation's stable financial risk
profile and the credit enhancement mechanism provided for each bond by
escrow of octroi and/or property tax collections from designated nakas/zones.
The credit enhancement mechanism operates through a trustee-administered
escrow account. The current reaffirmation is subject to the trustee(s)
confirming compliance with all aspects, including legal documentation and
stipulated payment mechanism by July 19, 2006 and fully capitalising the
sinking fund to provide for the upcoming put/ call option for 2002
Tax-Free Bonds (Property Tax Bonds) by July 30, 2006. The ratings are also
based on the corporation's buoyant revenues, healthy revenue surplus
levels, strong economic base, and good economic management. Crisil
has assigned ‘AAA/Stable’ rating to National Highways Authority of
India’s (NHAI) Rs 80billiob long-term borrowing programme and it has
also reaffirmed the ‘AAA/Stable’ rating assigned to NHAI’s Rs 55.93
billion taxable bond programme. The assigned rating is based on NHAI’s
strategic importance as the Government of India's nodal agency for the
development of the road sector in Crisil
has assigned a rating of 'AAA/Stable' to ICICI Bank's Rs 40 billion Upper
Tier II Bonds issue. The rating on these bonds takes into account the
unique features of the instrument including conditional debt servicing
characteristic. The agency has factored in, the bank's current and
projected capital adequacy levels, and its ability to raise fresh capital
(both equity capital and hybrid Tier I capital) into its rating. Crisil
has reaffirmed ‘A/Stable’ rating assigned to Hyderabad Metropolitan
Water and Sewerage Board’s Rs 7000 million long-term debt programmes.
The reaffirmation is based on the strong support the Board receives from
the Government of Andhra Pradesh, and its adequate financial risk profile
with high net worth and strong capitalisation ratios. Crisil
has reaffirmed its ‘AA+ (so)’ rating on the bonds issued by the
Municipal Corporation of Hyderabad (MCH). The ratings are based on the
credit enhancement mechanism provided for the bonds and the corporation's
strong financial risk profile. The current reaffirmation is subject to the
trustee confirming compliance with all aspects of the credit enhancement
mechanism, including legal documentation and stipulated payment mechanism
by July 19, 2006. This is in line with the agency’s policy, effective
from January 20, 2006, of providing 180 days to the entity (in case of
earlier issues rated by Crisil) to comply with the structure. Icra
has upgraded the ‘LBBB’ rating assigned to the Rs 2170 million bond
programme (current outstanding of Rs. 1400 million) of Gujarat State
Energy Generation Limited to ‘LBBB+’. The rating action reflects the
finalisation of the Power Purchase Agreement with erstwhile Gujarat
Electricity Board (GEB), expected support from Government of Gujarat and
GUVNL in servicing the obligations on the rated bonds and the improving
trend in cash collections from its sole customer, the erstwhile GEB. Icra
has assigned ‘LAA’ rating to the proposed Rs 8 billion debenture
programme of Kotak Mahindra Prime Limited (formerly Kotak Mahindra Primus
Limited). The agency has also reaffirmed the ‘LAA’ rating and the ‘MAA+’
rating, to the debentures and medium term debt programmes of Kotak
Mahindra Prime Limited (KMPL). The ratings factor in KMPL’s position as
one of the leading players in the car financing business, favourable asset
quality, strong risk management skills and comfortable capital adequacy. Icra
has downgraded the rating assigned to the Rs. 150 million Bond programme
of Bharat Heavy Plate & Vessels Ltd (BHPV) from ‘LBBB (SO)’ to
‘LBB (SO)’ and placed it on Rating Watch. The rating has been
downgraded following a default by the company in redeeming the bonds along
with the interest due as on March 27, 2006. The time-bound structured
mechanism stipulated the agency required the trustees to invoke the
Government of India guarantee in case there was a shortfall in the
designated payment account on the specified trigger date. However, the
guarantee has not been invoked as per the terms of the structure. Icra
has assigned an ‘LAAA’ rating to the Rs. 50 billion long term debt
programme and ‘A1+’ rating to the Rs. 50 billion short term debt
programme of Oil India Limited (OIL). The agency has also reaffirmed the
A1+ rating earlier assigned to the Rs. 5 billion cp/short term debt
programme of OIL. The assigned ratings reflect the company’s strong
operating performance as reflected in its competitive cost structure and
favorable reserve replacement track record; its currently favourable
financial risk profile characterized by robust profitability, low gearing
and large liquid investments; the significant sovereign ownership as well
as its strategic importance to the country’s energy security. Fitch
Ratings has assigned a short-term rating of ‘F1+( CORPORATE
SECTOR Torrent
Pharmaceuticals is planning to set up its wholly-owned subsidiaries in Ruchi Soya Industries, a flagship company of Ruchi group, is planning to venture into retail market with an investment of around Rs 2,000 crore in two years. Two-wheeler major Bajaj Auto has posted 29 per cent higher sales by selling 6.2 lakh units of two and three-wheelers in the last quarter of the financial year 2005-06. Motorcycle sales have gone up by 35 per cent to 5.3 lakh units in the fourth quarter of 2005-06. The total vehicles sold in financial year 2005-06 has stood at 22.72 lakh units against 18.26 lakh in 2004-05. Exports have increased by 27 per cent on year-on-year basis. Tata Motors has reported 27 per cent rise in total sales including exports of 56,406 units for March 2006, over the same period previous year. Total sales of commercial vehicles in March 2006 in the domestic market have stood at 27,289 units, up by 33.3 per cent. Almost all carmakers have registered double-digit growth rates for March 2006. Amongst them, market leader, Maruti Udyog has sold 61,141 units of vehicles in March up by 20.6 per cent from the corresponding period previous year, boosted by demand for compact cars like the Alto and Swift. The second largest carmaker, Hyundai Motor India Limited has witnessed a robust growth of 38 per cent in March 2006 by selling 22,524 vehicles. Cement majors Gujarat Ambuja, ACC have reported healthy increase in production and dispatch level for March 2005. Gujarat Ambuja has recorded a 12 per cent growth in production to 13.33 lakh tonne in March 2006 as compared to last year and dispatches have gone up by 13 per cent to 13.29 lakh tonne. Group company Ambuja Cement Eastern’s production has risen by 16 per cent to 2 lakh tonne and dispatches increased by 23 per cent to 2.18 lakh tonne. ACC has attained a new high of 17.39 lakh tonne in production and 17.46 lakh tonne in dispatches. Tata Steel has finished this financial year with a record production of hot metal, crude steel and saleable steel. Hot metal production has stood at 5.18 million tonne, crude steel at 4.73 million tonne and saleable steel at 4.52 million tonne in 2005-06, an increase of 19 per cent, 15 per cent and 10 per cent, respectively. Sangam,
a leading polyester viscose dyed yarn manufacturer, has secured orders
worth Rs 70 crore. The company has received export orders worth Rs 30
crore from countries such as Larsen and Toubro has secured its first annuity based road project valued at Rs 550 crore
from the National Highway Authority of India. The project involves four
laning of the 76-kilometre Palanpur and Swaroopgunj stretch located on the
East-West Corridor of NH-14, linking Genus Overseas Electronics, a producer of single-phase multi-function electronic energy meter, has secured Rs 117.65 crore order from West Bengal State Electricity Board for agri metering. Bhagyanagar Metal has secured the tender for construction of an integrated township project at Vepagunta in Visakapatnam on 52 acres for Rs 384 crore. Celebrity Fashions has acquired an export oriented unit of the Chennai based Ambattur Clothing’s Limited by signing a Memorandum of Understanding. Sasken Communication has acquired Chennai based Integrated Soft Tech Solutions for $ 1.45 million. Domestic copper and zinc producers including Hindustan Copper Limited and Hindustan Zinc Limited have raised their basic selling prices up to 7 per cent from April 1,2006. Other producers like Birla Copper and Sterlite Industries and Binani Zinc have also revised basic selling prices. EXTERNAL
SECTOR The government has scrapped the target plus incentive scheme for exporters from the financial year 2006-07. The scheme announced during 2004-05, under the foreign trade policy, expired on 31st March 2006. According
to provisional trade data released by the commerce and industry ministry
today, exports grew by nearly 25 per cent over the previous year’s
$80.67 billion. Imports stood at $140 billion, 31.52 per cent higher than
the previous year’s imports of $106.63 billion. The huge increase in trade deficit was primarily on account of a spurt in oil prices. Oil imports in value terms during the 12-month period increased by nearly 47 per cent to $43.84 billion compared with $29.85 billion in the corresponding period of the previous year. Non oil imports during 2005-06 increased by over 25 per cent to $96.39 billion against $ 76.77 billion in 2004-05. Exports
of merchandise from On
7th of April, the Commerce Minister announced the Annual
Supplement to trade policy. The Annual Supplement 2006 introduces a
number of measures for identifying and nurturing special focus areas which
would generate additional employment opportunities particularly in semi
urban and rural areas. Measures have also been introduced for further
simplifying procedures and bringing down transaction costs. These measures
broadly fall within the framework provided by the five year Foreign Trade
Policy, and strive to achieve the twin objectives of doubling India’s
share of global merchandise trade by 2009 over its 2004 level, and in the
process, enhancing employment opportunities substantially. The main
features of the policy are spelt out below: Export
growth target of 20 per cent or $120 billion is set for the current
financial year, that is 2006-07 with employment for at least 2 million
people. The
twin schemes of Focus Product and Focus Market are being introduced
to (a) promote export of products having large
employment potential and (b) penetration of strategic markets by Indian
products, especially markets in which our exports are comparatively low. Focus
Product Scheme: provides incentives to export of products which have high
employment potential in rural and semi urban areas. The Scheme allows duty
credit facility at 2.5 per cent of the FOB value of exports to fifty
percent of the export turnover of notified products such as value added
fish and leather products, stationery items, fireworks, sports goods,
handloom products bearing handloom mark and handicraft items. Focus
Market Scheme 5 Scheme
aims at offsetting the high freight cost and other disabilities faced in
accessing select international markets. The initiative will enhance Keeping
in view the objective of Foreign Trade Policy to promote employment
generation in rural and semi urban areas, it has been decided to
incentivise the export of village and cottage industry products by
awarding a duty free scrip at 5 per cent of FOB value of exports under the
expanded Vishesh Krishi Upaj Yojana, which has been renamed as Vishesh
Krishi and Gram Udyog Yojana. In
order to tap Reduction
of value added norm from
7 per cent to 4.5 per cent to boost export of plain gold/platinum/silver
jewellery, articles and ornaments and enhance their international
competitiveness. Import
of precious metal scrap and used jewellery for certain purposes, export of
jewellery on consignment basis and import of cut and polished precious and
semi-precious stones for treatment has been allowed. Norms for re-import
of rejected precious metal jewellery have also been changed. Allowing
import of precious metal scrap and used jewellery for utilising spare
capacities in melting, refining and jewellery making. Such import,
however, will not be allowed through hand baggage. Re-import of rejected precious metal jewellery will now only be subject to refund of duty exemption benefits on inputs only and not the duty on jewellery as was being done earlier. Export
production requires use of many inputs in small quantities as per laid
down standard input output norms. Even though such inputs are allowed for
import without payment of customs duty under Advance Licensing Scheme,
exporters generally do not import such items because of lack of economies
of scale and are forced to source them locally at a higher price. To
address this issue, Advance Licensing scheme (which allows imports before
exports) and Duty Free Replenishment Certificate (which allows
transferability of import entitlements) have been clubbed to evolve a new
scheme named as Duty Free Import Authorisation Scheme. Under the new
scheme the Duty Free Import Authorisation will be issued with actual user
condition till export obligation is fulfilled. Imports made under this
authorisation will be exempt from payment of basic custom duty, additional
customs duty, education cess, antidumping duty and safeguard duty, if any.
Duty Free Replenishment Scheme shall be available only for the exports
effected upto 30.4.06 under the scheme. SOCIAL
SECTOR Health
Insurance Scheme According
to the Parliamentary Committee under Public Undertakings, the Health
Insurance Scheme (HIS) launched by the government in 2003 in order to
provide health insurance facilities to the below poverty line people, has
benefited only 2 lakh families against the targeted 10 lakh in the past
two years in the first phase. Under the scheme, the public and private
sector insurance companies covered 65,718 families in 2004-05 and 68,296
families in 2005-06 all-over TELECOM The department of telecom (DoT) has released new guidelines regarding the spectrum limit. As per the revised guidelines, the limit for the spectrum usage has been increased for GSM and CDMA operators which they can claim on the basis of their subscriber base. The move comes as a major boost to the mobile industry, which is adding as many as 5 million subscribers per month. While the total spectrum was capped at 10 Mhz for GSM and 5 Mhz for CDMA players, it has now been raised to 15 Mhz for GSM and 7.5 Mhz for CDMA for 21 lakh subscribers each. According to new criteria, a GSM operator will get spectrum beyond 10 Mhz in two tranches – from 10 Mhz to 12.4 Mhz (when it crosses 10 lakh subscribers) and 12.4 Mhz to 15 Mhz (when it crosses 16 lakh subscribers). The CDMA operators will get beyond 5 Mhz to 6.25 Mhz and then to 7.25 Mhz. The new criterion comes into effect immediately. It has, however, not taken into account the demand of CDMA operators that equal spectrum be allotted to GSM and CDMA operators for the same number of subscribers. The total mobile subscriber base, including GSM and CDMA touched 89.31 million in March 2006 as against 84.88 million in the previous month registering an increase of 5.2 per cent. The growth, however, is slightly slower than 5.3 per cent recorded in February, over January. Hewlett-Packard
(HP) is setting up a lab at the
*These statistics and the accompanying review are a product arising from the work undertaken under the joint ICICI research centre.org-EPWRF Data Base Project. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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